LD Alajuelense vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SAP
0 - 0
LDA
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
LDA
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LDA
1 - 2
PER
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LFC
1 - 1
LDA
35%
26%
40%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LDA
0 - 1
SAN
63%
20%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ADC
0 - 3
CSC
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
3 - 1
ADC
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ADC
4 - 1
GUA
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
ADC
0 - 1
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CSH
1 - 0
ADC
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |