LD Alajuelense vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
LDA
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LDA
3 - 0
GRE
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LFC
1 - 1
LDA
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
LDA
2 - 1
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CSC
2 - 2
LDA
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
ADC
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
ADC
0 - 2
SAP
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
ADC
0 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CSH
2 - 0
ADC
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LFC
2 - 2
ADC
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |