LD Alajuelense vs Carmelita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
LDA
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LDA
1 - 3
BEL
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 0
LDA
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -3 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
LDA
4 - 0
MUN
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LDA
4 - 0
CSU
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ADC
2 - 4
UNI
32%
27%
42%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CSC
2 - 3
ADC
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ADC
1 - 3
SAP
16%
24%
60%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
PER
1 - 2
ADC
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ADC
2 - 2
CSH
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |