LD Alajuelense vs Carmelita analysis

LD Alajuelense Carmelita
74 ELO 58
-2.7% Tilt 10.5%
984º General ELO ranking 4431º
Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
72%
LD Alajuelense
18.7%
Draw
9.3%
Carmelita

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
LD Alajuelense
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.3%
Win probability
Carmelita
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
LD Alajuelense
+14%
-17%
Carmelita

ELO progression

LD Alajuelense
Carmelita
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

LD Alajuelense
LD Alajuelense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2012
LDA
LD Alajuelense
2 - 3
Deportivo Saprissa
SAP
41%
26%
33%
74 74 0 0
01 Nov. 2012
LDA
LD Alajuelense
1 - 0
Belén Siglo XXI
BEL
55%
25%
20%
73 70 3 +1
25 Oct. 2012
TIG
Tigres UANL
5 - 0
LD Alajuelense
LDA
59%
23%
18%
74 84 10 -1
20 Oct. 2012
LFC
Limón
1 - 0
LD Alajuelense
LDA
27%
26%
48%
74 63 11 0
15 Oct. 2012
LDA
LD Alajuelense
2 - 1
Santos de Guápiles
SAN
54%
25%
21%
74 69 5 0

Matches

Carmelita
Carmelita
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2012
ADC
Carmelita
0 - 0
CS Cartaginés
CSC
27%
26%
47%
58 70 12 0
02 Nov. 2012
ADC
Carmelita
1 - 1
Pérez Zeledón
PER
26%
26%
48%
58 70 12 0
28 Oct. 2012
PFC
Puntarenas FC
0 - 1
Carmelita
ADC
67%
20%
14%
57 64 7 +1
20 Oct. 2012
ADC
Carmelita
0 - 0
CS Herediano
CSH
20%
25%
54%
56 74 18 +1
16 Oct. 2012
ADC
Carmelita
1 - 2
CS Uruguay Coronado
CSU
52%
25%
24%
57 57 0 -1