LD Alajuelense vs Santa Ana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
4º
1º
20
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 2
LDA
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
LDA
2 - 1
SAN
73%
18%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
SAP
3 - 0
LDA
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
LDA
1 - 0
SAP
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CSH
1 - 0
LDA
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Ana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
SPO
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CSC
4 - 0
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ADR
2 - 1
SAN
41%
25%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 0
ADR
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
EBC
1 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |