LD Alajuelense vs Santa Ana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
4º
3º
1
11º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 39 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 35 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 30 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 28 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 28 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 28 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 26 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 25 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 14 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
69.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
LDA
2 - 1
CSH
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 0
LDA
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
LDA
2 - 2
CSH
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 0
LDA
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
LDA
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Ana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
LDA
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
PFC
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |