CE Alaior vs Penya Ciutadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Alaior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 3
ALA
5%
12%
84%
|
20 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALA
4 - 1
SAM
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MNC
1 - 1
ALA
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
FRR
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MJG
1 - 1
ALA
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
PCE
0 - 1
ADC
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
UDM
4 - 1
PCE
79%
14%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PCE
4 - 1
SLL
27%
22%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SDM
3 - 1
PCE
19%
22%
60%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
PCE
2 - 3
MJG
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |