CE Alaior vs Penya Ciutadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Alaior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
PCE
4 - 2
ALA
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MER
2 - 1
ALA
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 3
MER
30%
24%
47%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
SAM
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
ALA
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
PCE
4 - 2
ALA
20%
21%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PCE
1 - 7
MNC
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MNC
1 - 0
PCE
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
PCE
2 - 0
UDM
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 3
PCE
17%
19%
65%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |