Atlético Alagoinhas vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CFC
1 - 2
ALA
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 0
FEI
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 2
ALA
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ALA
6 - 2
SER
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
IPI
3 - 2
ALA
44%
24%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
BAH
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIT
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
JUA
1 - 3
VIT
14%
23%
64%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
COL
83%
13%
5%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |