Atlético Alagoinhas vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
ASA
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ITA
3 - 1
ALA
39%
26%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 1
RFC
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 3
SDJ
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 2
ALA
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIT
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 2
VIT
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
SDJ
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |