Atlético Alagoinhas vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 0
ALA
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 0
BAH
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 0
IPI
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
SER
2 - 1
ALA
30%
25%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
BAH
4 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 2
BAH
21%
24%
54%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 2
FLU
58%
22%
19%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
IPI
1 - 2
VIT
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |