Atlético Alagoinhas vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
54.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 0
ADA
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 3
ALA
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 1
BAH
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 2
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FLU
0 - 1
ALA
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
5 - 0
IPO
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
APA
0 - 0
VIL
25%
26%
50%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
JAR
76%
16%
9%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 3
VIL
46%
25%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |