Atlético Alagoinhas vs Tupynambás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALA
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ALA
3 - 1
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
ALA
53%
24%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
ALA
3 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 3
ALA
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tupynambás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 4
BRA
24%
26%
51%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 1
GAM
14%
23%
63%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
TFC
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
0 - 0
CAL
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 2
TFC
39%
23%
39%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |