Atlético Alagoinhas vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
SDJ
0 - 2
ALA
38%
28%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 2
ALA
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
JAC
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
LAG
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 0
ALA
18%
23%
58%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
LAG
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CSE
2 - 2
SER
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 0
SER
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
SDJ
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
JAC
1 - 1
SER
54%
27%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |