Baiano 1 Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Atlético Alagoinhas vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
54.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ALA
2 - 2
JAC
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 1
ALA
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 3
VIL
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
ADA
2 - 2
SDJ
12%
17%
71%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 1
VIT
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 0
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SDJ
3 - 3
VOL
17%
22%
62%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
JAC
1 - 1
SDJ
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |