Baiano 1 Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Atlético Alagoinhas vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
SDJ
1 - 4
ALA
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
JAC
0 - 1
ALA
43%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 0
BAH
6%
19%
74%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 1
SDJ
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
BAH
3 - 0
ALA
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
SDJ
1 - 4
ALA
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 3
SDJ
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
SDJ
3 - 0
VIT
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 1
SDJ
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 4
SDJ
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |