Atlético Alagoinhas vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FLU
0 - 0
ALA
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 2
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 2
BAH
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
ALA
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ALA
5 - 0
JUA
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SDJ
3 - 3
JAC
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 1
SDJ
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SDJ
0 - 1
FLU
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 1
SDJ
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SDJ
1 - 1
BAH
12%
18%
70%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | +1 |