Atlético Alagoinhas vs Madre de Deus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
POC
0 - 3
ALA
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
ALA
4 - 0
POC
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
MDE
1 - 1
ALA
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 0
IPI
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
FEI
3 - 3
ALA
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Madre de Deus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MDE
2 - 2
FLU
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 0
MDE
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
MDE
1 - 1
ALA
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MDE
0 - 2
VIT
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
CFC
2 - 2
MDE
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |