Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacobina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
JEQ
2 - 0
ALA
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
JAC
3 - 2
ALA
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 3
BAH
10%
21%
69%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 2
ALA
63%
20%
18%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 2
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
1 - 0
BAR
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
5 - 0
JEC
85%
11%
4%
|
39 | 85 | 46 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
1 - 1
ITA
11%
17%
72%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BAH
6 - 1
JEC
75%
17%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
JEQ
1 - 0
JEC
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |