Série D Brazil Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 3-4
Atlético Alagoinhas vs Goiânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 1
ALA
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 0
CAL
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 2
ALA
12%
20%
68%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 3
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BAH
3 - 3
ALA
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Goiânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 0
REA
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
URO
1 - 2
GOI
31%
25%
43%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
2 - 1
APA
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
4 - 0
AGU
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
2 - 1
LTD
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |