Atlético Alagoinhas vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
IPI
2 - 1
ALA
43%
25%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
FEI
1 - 2
ALA
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 1
FLU
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
CFC
1 - 1
ALA
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 1
ITA
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 5
BAH
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
BAH
0 - 0
MDE
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 0
BAH
67%
19%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 0
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
COL
1 - 5
BAH
16%
22%
61%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | +1 |