Atlético Alagoinhas vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BAH
3 - 3
ALA
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ALA
5 - 0
VIL
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 2
ALA
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 1
TFC
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALA
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 3
BRA
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
TFC
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
BRA
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 4
BRA
24%
26%
51%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |