Atlético Alagoinhas vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
72.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 0
JEC
49%
23%
27%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 0
VIT
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ADA
1 - 2
ALA
15%
18%
68%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 2
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
ALA
0 - 2
BAH
7%
18%
75%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
CON
68%
18%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 3
BOT
9%
18%
73%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ARN
0 - 0
BOT
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 0
SPC
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |