Baiano 1 Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Atlético Alagoinhas vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
ALA
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
5 - 1
ALA
83%
13%
4%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
JAC
2 - 3
ALA
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 0
SDJ
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
ALA
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 1
BAH
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 1
ADA
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 1
SDJ
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 5
COT
8%
18%
74%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |