Atlético Alagoinhas vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
LAG
4 - 1
ALA
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
JAC
1 - 1
ALA
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 4
SAN
48%
28%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
SDJ
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
ALA
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ASA
2 - 0
SAN
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
SER
2 - 0
ASA
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 1
LAG
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CSE
0 - 1
ASA
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
JAC
0 - 0
ASA
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |