Al Zawraa vs Safa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Zawraa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
ALZ
5 - 0
ALT
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ALZ
5 - 2
ALT
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SHO
3 - 2
ALZ
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
ALZ
2 - 1
ALM
39%
30%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
KAR
3 - 1
ALZ
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SAF
2 - 1
TRI
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
SAF
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SAF
0 - 2
SHO
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAF
2 - 1
ALA
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 2
SAF
23%
23%
55%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -2 |