Al Zawraa vs Erbil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Zawraa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
KAR
1 - 1
ALZ
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
ALZ
1 - 1
NMI
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ALN
0 - 1
ALZ
37%
27%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
ALZ
1 - 0
ALS
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
WAS
0 - 2
ALZ
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
ALK
2 - 0
ARB
33%
30%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
ARB
0 - 1
NAF
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ALK
2 - 2
ARB
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 1
HUD
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ALQ
3 - 0
ARB
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |