Al Watani vs Al Dahab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Watani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
BAT
1 - 0
ALW
35%
26%
40%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
ALW
2 - 0
ALS
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
WAS
1 - 2
ALW
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
ALW
2 - 1
ALJ
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ALW
1 - 0
OMR
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Al Dahab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALD
2 - 1
OMR
53%
21%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
ULA
2 - 0
ALD
38%
25%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
ALJ
3 - 1
ALD
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 2
ALS
61%
22%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ALD
3 - 1
WAS
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |