Al-Wasl vs Al Nasr Dubai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
7º
4º
6
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 9 |
1º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 9 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 7 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
4 | 7 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
6 | 6 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 4 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 3 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 3 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 0 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
26.5% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Wasl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 1
WAS
21%
20%
59%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
WAS
1 - 0
DAH
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 2
WAS
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
UMM
0 - 3
WAS
14%
18%
69%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RAY
3 - 2
WAS
26%
21%
54%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Al Nasr Dubai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALU
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ALN
4 - 1
BAY
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 5
ALN
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 0
ALN
36%
23%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCO
2 - 2
ALN
20%
21%
59%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |