Al-Wakrah vs Al-Ahli SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
8º
3º
11
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 46 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 37 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 36 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 34 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
11 | 30 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 29 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 24 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 23 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 23 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
5.5% | 2% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
15.5% | 3.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
20.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Wakrah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ANT
0 - 0
WAK
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 2
CAS
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
WAK
2 - 2
AJA
30%
22%
48%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 1
SAA
35%
21%
44%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
WAK
3 - 3
ALM
73%
16%
11%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LOM
1 - 0
AHL
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 1
WAS
12%
16%
73%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 0
UJP
22%
21%
57%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
GHA
4 - 3
AHL
64%
19%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AHL
1 - 0
WAK
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |