Arab Club Champions Cup 1/16
Global 3-4
Al-Wehda vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Wehda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
ALI
2 - 1
ALW
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
ALH
0 - 0
ALW
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
USM
3 - 0
ALW
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALW
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
ALW
3 - 1
ALR
78%
16%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
USM
3 - 0
HUS
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
USM
1 - 1
CHL
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
USM
3 - 0
ALW
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
EUL
0 - 0
USM
36%
29%
36%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
USM
1 - 1
HAR
68%
22%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |