Al-Wehda vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
13º
13º
67
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Wehda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 0
ALW
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ALW
0 - 2
ALF
30%
27%
44%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALW
1 - 0
ALT
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
ALK
3 - 2
ALW
23%
28%
49%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
ALW
2 - 1
ALS
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 2
ALN
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
ALI
3 - 1
ALN
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALN
1 - 0
ALI
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALN
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
ALN
2 - 0
ALT
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |