Al-Shamal vs Al-Sadd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
62.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
8º
7º
31
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 46 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 42 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 42 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 36 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 30 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 29 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 27 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 27 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 26 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 22 |
11º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
12º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 39% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 14% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 0
ALS
70%
17%
12%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 0
ALS
70%
17%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ADS
3 - 1
ALS
64%
19%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 0
GHA
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ALS
0 - 4
SAA
16%
19%
65%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Sadd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
SAA
1 - 0
ISM
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 1
SAA
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 0
SAA
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SAA
3 - 2
PIR
48%
22%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
SAA
8 - 0
MAN
80%
12%
8%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |