Al-Shamal vs Al-Markhiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
11º
9º
18
10º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shamal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
UMM
3 - 4
ALS
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 2
RAY
21%
21%
58%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALM
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RAY
2 - 1
ALS
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
UMM
2 - 0
ALS
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Markhiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
ADS
0 - 0
MAR
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
ABS
2 - 0
MAR
47%
23%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
WAK
1 - 2
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
ALM
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
AHL
4 - 1
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |