Al Shahaniya vs Al-Gharafa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
12º
6º
28
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 46 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 42 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 42 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 41 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 29 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 28 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 28 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 27 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 24 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 24% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 32% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Shahaniya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 3
ALS
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ADS
1 - 1
ALS
58%
20%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
AHL
2 - 1
ALS
39%
24%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 0
ALS
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SAA
4 - 2
ALS
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Gharafa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
ALH
3 - 0
GHA
64%
18%
17%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 3
ALN
28%
22%
50%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
GHA
3 - 1
WAK
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
KHO
3 - 0
GHA
23%
22%
56%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
GHA
44%
24%
33%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |