AFC Champions League Elite Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Al-Shabab vs Seongnam FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
NAJ
1 - 2
ALS
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ALS
0 - 1
JEO
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
JEO
0 - 2
ALS
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ALN
0 - 0
ALS
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Seongnam FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
GAN
1 - 2
SEO
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
SUW
2 - 0
SEO
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SEO
0 - 1
JEJ
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
SEO
4 - 1
SUW
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
DAE
2 - 2
SEO
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |