Al-Shabab vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ALN
2 - 1
ALS
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALN
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALS
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALS
3 - 0
ANS
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALS
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
ANS
1 - 2
NAJ
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NAJ
0 - 2
ALH
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HAJ
1 - 0
NAJ
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
NAJ
68%
18%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
NAJ
2 - 1
ALN
35%
26%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |