Al-Shabab vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 2
ALS
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
ALS
0 - 1
ALA
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ALS
3 - 2
ALR
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
ALQ
1 - 2
ALS
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALH
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
NAJ
3 - 1
ALR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 0
NAJ
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
ALF
4 - 1
NAJ
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
NAJ
0 - 4
ALA
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 3
NAJ
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |