Al-Shabab vs Najran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
ALQ
0 - 3
ALS
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
ALH
2 - 2
ALS
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2009 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALI
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2009 |
ALS
4 - 1
ALI
54%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
ALH
1 - 2
ALS
36%
26%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
ALI
3 - 1
NAJ
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
NAJ
2 - 4
ALH
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2009 |
ALR
2 - 2
NAJ
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
ALI
3 - 1
NAJ
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALF
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |