Al-Shabab vs Al-Riyadh SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
12º
6º
28
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 74 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 73 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 66 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 63 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 60 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 44 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 36 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
3 - 2
ALS
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALF
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 2
ALF
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALH
41%
25%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALS
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Riyadh SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
ALR
2 - 2
ALK
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ALO
0 - 1
ALR
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 2
ALR
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 0
ALI
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALN
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |