Al-Shabab vs Al-Raed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
12º
5º
4
8º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
8 | 62 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 61 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 56 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 55 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 52 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 52 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 50 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 47 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 47 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 44 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 39 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 39 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 32 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 32 |
17º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 30 |
18º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
23% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALT
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALQ
0 - 1
ALS
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ALK
0 - 1
ALS
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALS
0 - 1
ALI
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 1
ALS
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Raed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALR
1 - 2
ALR
60%
22%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 5
ALR
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ALR
0 - 1
ALQ
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ALN
1 - 1
ALR
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 4
ALR
28%
24%
49%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |