Al-Shabab vs Al-Raed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALS
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ALS
3 - 1
ALQ
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
ALS
4 - 1
ALT
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2010 |
ALR
2 - 2
ALS
30%
27%
42%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
ALS
4 - 1
ALF
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Raed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
ALW
2 - 3
ALR
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
NAJ
0 - 0
ALR
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2010 |
ALR
2 - 2
ALS
30%
27%
42%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
ALR
0 - 0
ALF
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |