Al-Shabab vs Al-Raed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALF
2 - 1
ALS
23%
28%
50%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALA
45%
25%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
ALN
0 - 2
ALS
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
ALS
2 - 2
ALW
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
NAJ
1 - 3
ALS
32%
28%
41%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Raed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
ALH
2 - 1
ALR
59%
23%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ALR
2 - 1
ALF
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ALR
0 - 2
ALI
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALR
71%
20%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
ALR
3 - 2
ABH
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |