Al-Shabab vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NAJ
0 - 1
ALS
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
ALS
0 - 0
ALK
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALS
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
HAJ
1 - 2
ALS
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ALS
3 - 1
ALR
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ALA
4 - 2
ALN
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
ALN
2 - 0
NAJ
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ALN
5 - 1
NAH
74%
16%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 2
ALN
24%
26%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
ALN
5 - 0
ALM
87%
10%
3%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | +1 |