Al-Shabab vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
EST
0 - 1
ALS
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
NAH
4 - 1
ALS
26%
28%
47%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
ALS
3 - 1
ALK
90%
8%
3%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALT
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ALS
1 - 0
ALH
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
ALN
3 - 4
ALH
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
ALN
4 - 1
ALH
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 2
ALN
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
ALN
4 - 0
ALF
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ALH
1 - 2
ALN
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |