Saudi King's Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Al-Shabab vs Al-Ettifaq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 2
ALS
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 2
ALS
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
ALS
2 - 1
EST
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
ALH
0 - 1
ALS
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ALS
1 - 3
ALO
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Ettifaq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 2
ALS
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 4
ALI
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALI
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALF
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 0
ALI
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |