Saudi King's Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Al-Shabab vs Al-Ahli SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2013 |
ALS
3 - 0
GHA
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALS
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
GHA
1 - 2
ALS
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
ALS
3 - 1
ALR
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALR
0 - 2
ALS
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 0
JAI
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALS
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
JAI
1 - 1
ALA
37%
22%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
ALN
1 - 3
ALA
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ALA
3 - 1
ALN
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |