Saudi King's Cup Last 16
Global 1-3
Al-Shabab vs Al-Ahli SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
SAA
1 - 0
ALS
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
ALF
0 - 1
ALS
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALI
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
ZOB
0 - 1
ALS
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
ALS
1 - 0
RAY
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Ahli SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2011 |
ALR
2 - 3
ALA
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALA
3 - 2
ALW
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
3 - 0
ALF
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ALS
2 - 1
ALA
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ALA
0 - 0
ALN
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |