Al-Safa vs Neom SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
18º
15º
38
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
38 | 66 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 61 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 55 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 51 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 40 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 40 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 37 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 36 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 35 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 51% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
47% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 2
ALJ
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 1
ALS
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
ALS
1 - 3
ALR
28%
24%
49%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ALS
0 - 1
NAJ
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ADA
1 - 0
ALS
63%
23%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Neom SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SUQ
2 - 0
ALH
34%
27%
40%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
NAJ
2 - 3
SUQ
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
SUQ
1 - 1
AIN
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALJ
0 - 4
SUQ
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
SUQ
4 - 0
ALJ
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |