AFC Champions League Elite Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Al-Sadd vs Suwon Bluewings analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al-Sadd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
SUW
0 - 2
SAA
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SAA
3 - 1
KHO
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAA
1 - 0
AHL
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SAA
1 - 2
SEP
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
UMM
1 - 3
SAA
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Suwon Bluewings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GWA
0 - 1
SUW
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
SUW
0 - 2
SAA
63%
21%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SEO
1 - 0
SUW
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SUW
2 - 2
JEO
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
SUW
1 - 0
FCS
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |